On Dec 5, 2013, at 8:00 PM, JACK SARFATTI <This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. > wrote:

From the beginning:

First Hawking

L = Schwarzschild radial coordinate distance to horizon classical 2D surface g00 = 0.

Newton's surface gravity ~ A^-1/2

A = area-entropy of g00 = 0

What they do in Wikipedia above comes down to this

Redshifted Unruh temperature a long distant from the black hole is

THawking ~ A^-1/2

Stefan-Boltzmann law

energy density ~ THawking^4 ~ A^-2

Total redshifted power

P ~ A (energy density) ~ A^-1

A ~ M^2

P ~ dM/dt

tlifetime ~ M^3

OK now my new prediction following the same argument as above

The redshifted thickness gravity Unruh temperature is

T' ~ (LA^1/2)^-1/2

If we take

Lp ~ mp = Planck mass

T' ~ (mpM)^-1/2

P' ~ AT'^4 ~ A/L^2A ~ L^-2 ~ mp^-2

dM'/dt ~ mp^-2

t' ~ mp^2M << t ~ M^3